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Friday, 30 October 2026

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Derivatives

Energy Price Forecasts Revised Higher Amid Stalemate

Good morning, lovely people, and happy hump day. Today’s issue is packed with energy news — from retail fuel price hike to macroeconomic headwinds as another ratings agency trims India’s GDP forecast. To soften the fisc…

Gold Bear Market Deepens as Rate Hike Odds Surge

Most commodity markets operate on a single dominant clock. Supply tightens, prices rise. Demand weakens, prices fall. Gold, by contrast, runs on at least two clocks simultaneously, and they are currently telling very di…

Crude Oil Threatens Breakout Amid US-Iran Re-Escalation

The United States and Israel launched a major military campaign against Iran on Feb. 28, triggering a weekslong war that has spread to neighboring countries and roiled energy markets around the globe.

European gas spikes after US strikes on Iranian missile sites

Global oil and natural gas prices surged sharply on Thursday after Iran launched fresh strikes on key energy infrastructure across the Gulf, including Qatar’s main liquefied natural gas (LNG) facility, raising concern…

The Next Commodity Shock May Begin in the Pacific

Forecasts point to a strong El Niño event at the end of 2026, raising fears over food supplies and prices. While we believe these fears are overstated at the global level, El Niño poses a more significant regional risk …

Gold steadies after sharp selloff as Warsh revives Fed hike bets

Kevin Warsh’s first Federal Reserve meeting delivered a clear message to markets: inflation is back at the center of policy. The Fed held rates steady at 3.5% to 3.75%, but Warsh’s debut press conference, a shorter poli…

Gold prices flat ahead of Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech

Asian markets traded cautiously on Thursday, with much of the region's price action muted as traders adopted a wait and see approach ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech, even though the symp…

Gold edges down as markets await Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech

The dollar held to a narrow range on Wednesday, with investors reluctant to take large positions before the release of U.S. inflation data and the start of the Federal Reserve's annual Jackson Hole symposium later in th…

What India’s Gold Discount Is Really Telling Us

In late June, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) released the Financial Stability Report (FSR). According to the report, as of September 2025, India’s household debt stood at 45.5% of its gross domestic product (GDP). In J…