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Monday, 2 November 2026

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GBP/USD Rebound Signals a Sharp Shift in UK Rate Expectations

GBP/USD is trading at 1.3366, up 0.69% on the day. Other quotes put the pair at 1.3369, up 0.70%, or 93 pips. The pound has moved steadily higher through the European session. At 6:15 a.m. ET it was at 1.3341, up 0.51%.…

Mexican Peso sinks as US-Mexico trade talks stall

The Mexican Peso (MXN) losses ground against the Greenback on Friday amid broader US Dollar (USD) weakness, as Mexico’s economic docket is absent, leaving traders leaning into US dynamics. At the time of writing, USD/MX…

Euro: Bullish reversal builds above support – Scotiabank

Scotiabank’s Global FX Strategy team notes EUR/USD is supported by modest narrowing in front-end Eurozone–US spreads following dovish-leaning comments from Fed Chair Warsh. French OAT/Bund spreads remain wide but are se…

Dollar Index slips as Fed Chair Warsh won't prejudge October

Fed Chair Warsh's last word before the quiet period was that he doesn't prejudge meetings, and the Dollar Index is lower on it, though the drop stalled near 101.60 twice. It fell from just above 102.00 to about 101.85 i…

Taiwan Dollar: Foreign outflows pressure currency – OCBC

OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that Taiwan Dollar (TWD) has extended losses on heavy foreign equity outflows, partly retracing into the Asian close amid talk of CBC leaning against depreci…

Bank of Korea: Policy patience case – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered’s Chong Hoon Park expects the Bank of Korea to keep its base rate at 3.00% through October and November, despite a less favourable inflation-growth mix. The report highlights sticky underlying inflati…

Fed: Higher yields keep tightening path intact – Nordea

Nordea’s research team keeps its Federal Reserve outlook unchanged, expecting one more rate hike this year and another in 2027 as US inflation remains above the 2% target and growth stays strong. The bank argues that el…

Euro gains ground as AI jitters overshadow Fed rate hike bets

EUR/USD extends its recovery on Friday, trading around 1.1255 at the time of writing, up 0.32% on the day. The Euro (EUR) continues to strengthen against the US Dollar (USD), rebounding from a 16-month low of 1.1113 rea…

Swedish Krona: Forecasts turned cautious – Nordea

Nordea strategists concede their long‑standing positive view on the Swedish Krona (SEK) has not materialized and now adopt an agnostic stance. SEK has been hurt by Middle East‑related risk‑off flows, US tech outperforma…