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Sunday, 20 September 2026

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Global FX: Divergent central bank paths and Oil – Wells Fargo

Wells Fargo Economics has raised its global Gross Domestic Product (GDP) forecast to 2.7% for 2026 and trimmed global Consumer Price Index (CPI) to 4.3%, reflecting a slightly lower Oil price path. They expect final hik…

US Dollar: Smile narrative supports gradual gains – OCBC

OCBC Bank strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that the US Dollar (USD) remains supported by its yield advantage and safe-haven status, with FX moves still fitting the USD smile framework. They expec…

US Dollar: Energy shock may delay renewed downtrend – MUFG

MUFG’s Derek Halpenny notes that ongoing Middle East conflict, stronger United States (US) data and crude Oil risks are limiting US Dollar (USD) selling. Better manufacturing and retail figures have not shifted Fed expe…

Euro: Looking for direction against US Dollar – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur notes EUR/USD is struggling for clear direction as the Iran conflict, Oil prices, and diverging inflation dynamics cloud the outlook. He highlights a strong link between Oil and ECB rate expec…