Sunday, 20 September 2026
Independent coverage of global markets, trade and finance
Japan’s Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara said during the European trading session on Friday that the specifics of monetary policy to be left to the Bank of Japan (BoJ). These remarks from Japan’s Kihara appear to a…
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose reports that the National Bank of Poland kept rates at 3.75% and a neutral stance, but Governor Adam Glapinski’s press conference was markedly dovish. He floated a possible September rate cut a…
Silver price (XAG/USD) trades 0.4% higher to near $60.22 during the European trading session on Friday. The white metal gains as the US Dollar (USD) continues to remain under pressure amid hopes that the restart of the …
ING’s Francesco Pesole highlights that Canada’s June jobs report is expected to show a sharp slowdown in hiring and a pickup in wage growth. He argues the bar for a hawkish shift by the Bank of Canada (BoC) remains high…
ING’s Francesco Pesole writes that Middle East tensions have modestly re-tightened EUR/USD short-term swap rate differentials by around 10bp, though the spread remains wider than pre-war levels. While this supports expe…
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil futures on NYMEX trade slightly lower to near $71.50 during the European trading session on Friday. The Oil price extends its correction after posting a fresh over two-week high at $75.…
The Indian Rupee (INR) extends Thursday’s recovery against the US Dollar (USD) in the opening session on Friday. The USD/INR pair falls further to near 95.22 as the US Dollar weakens amid hopes that the restart of the w…
DBS economist Radhika Rao expects India’s June CPI inflation to edge up to 4.1% YoY from 3.9%, driven by food normalisation and fuel-cost pass-through. She sees limited upside risks to core inflation, an improving but u…
BNY’s Geoff Yu notes the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has trimmed its 2026 global growth forecast to 3.0%, with uneven impacts across energy exporters, tech economies and low-income importers, influencing global eq…
Gold (XAU/USD) firms on Thursday as a mildly softer US Dollar (USD) and a modest pullback in US Treasury yields help the precious metal recover some ground after three consecutive days of losses.
ING’s Warren Patterson notes that Oil prices fell after the US–Iran Memorandum of Understanding allowed Persian Gulf supply to recover faster than expected, while demand lagged. He now forecasts Brent at $80/bbl in 3Q26…
BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights that Oil is back in focus as shipping through the Strait of Hormuz nears a standstill and ceasefire risks rise. iFlow data show energy equities flows stabilizing after June profit-taking, with …
USD/JPY trades slightly lower on Thursday as a mildly softer US Dollar (USD) lends support to the Japanese Yen (JPY). At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 162.45, hovering near 40-year highs.
EUR/USD holds modest gains on Thursday, supported by some softness in the US Dollar (USD) as markets assess renewed hostilities in the Middle East. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.1444, up 0.25% on the …
TD Securities strategists highlight that the June Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Minutes showed rising concern over inflation risks, even as the United States (US) labor market remains stable. Some participants sa…
Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister observes that markets expect substantial tightening by Banxico over the next year, but he questions whether conditions justify 75 basis points of hikes. With Mexican inflation near 3.5–4% a…
Christopher Wong highlights that the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) has strengthened after a hawkish Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) rate hike, but higher Oil prices are capping gains. With the RBNZ starting a tightening c…
USD/CAD trades around 1.4170 on Thursday at the time of writing, virtually unchanged on the day, as weakness in the US Dollar (USD) offsets the negative impact of lower Oil prices on the Canadian Dollar (CAD).
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note the Canadian Dollar (CAD) is flat on Thursday but modestly firmer versus the US Dollar (USD) this week, making it a mild outperformer. They argue much bad news …
Geoff Yu at BNY Mellon highlights that Czech National Bank policy expectations have risen alongside the ECB, yet the Czech Koruna is sliding on a nominal effective basis. He argues that closely matching Eurozone tighten…
ABN AMRO’s Rogier Quaedvlieg highlights that US labour-market conditions are weaker than headline unemployment suggests, as rapidly declining participation is holding the rate down. He notes that payroll growth has slow…
Chinese investors sharply trimmed their Gold ETF holdings in June, exacerbating global outflows for the month, as local investor risk appetite continued to improve amid equity market gains and a weaker Gold price, data …
Societe Generale’s Jan Groen notes that the June Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes confirmed a hawkish hold, with the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) showing an even split between members favoring uncha…
Christopher Wong notes that Korean Won strength remains largely flow-driven, with USD/KRW dropping below 1,500 on offshore fund repatriation and official vigilance. While bearish momentum persists, Wong expects the pull…