Normal Interest Rates: What the Debt Panic Gets Wrong
A 5% long bond isn’t the crisis, it’s the receipt, and the fifteen years when money was free did far more damage to growth than normal interest rates ever will.
Bonds & rates
Treasury Buybacks Put Bond Market Liquidity Front and Center
August 20, 2026, 12:44 AM EDT. Samsung Electronics is preparing a shareholder-return programme worth more than 100 trillion won, or about $71.75 billion, according to Korean media cited by Reuters. The plan is expected …
3% Real TIPS Yields: Boring but Valuable
Investors face a challenging environment during the second half of 2022, needing to navigate rising interest rates, high inflation and resurfacing geopolitical risks. In the near term, gold will likely remain reactive t…
Long-End Risks, ECB Conviction and UK Data Tests
Lower Fed hike odds have calmed front-end USD rates, but long-end Treasuries remain vulnerable to higher real yields, fiscal supply pressure and yen spillovers. In Europe, markets remain focused on a September ECB hike,…
Lacy Hunt Turns Bearish Bonds: Studying His Reversal
Economist Lacy Hunt has been a bond bull longer than most money managers have been in the business. Recently, he made a surprising U-turn on his bullish stance. The following paragraph opens his Second Quarter Review an…
10‑Year Yield Premium Rises on Inflation Risk and Fed Uncertainty
On July 15, 2026, the source for Figure 1 was updated from FRB-NY to Federal Reserve Board.
Rates Outlook: Tricky Relative Value Amid Geopolitics
Eastspring’s Multi Asset Portfolio Solutions team remains tactically constructive on global equities, favouring the US over Europe, but with clear restraint amid unresolved tensions. On fixed income, the team is neutral…
Will the Bond Market Verify the Stock Market’s Revived Optimism?
Global stock markets have been on a tear in 2026, extending last year's rally as traders look through geopolitical turmoil and inflation fears.
The Bond Market Is Sending Gold a Debt Warning
In today’s update: US fiscal pressure and gold prices are moving in lockstep today — with the Fed frozen at 3.50–3.75%, Treasury’s own debt buyers flagging a $1.3 trillion shortfall, and services inflation stuck at a fo…
Bonds in Your Portfolio: Why Ditching Them Is the Wrong Move
Lately, it seems like you can’t open a financial publication without stumbling across another article declaring the 60/40 portfolio dead. The pitch is everywhere: bonds are broken, the old rules no longer apply, and inv…
Trump’s Calls to Warsh Add Political Crosscurrent to Fed’s Path
The Federal Reserve is steering through a thicket of macro crosscurrents, and the challenge is sharpening amid a new report that President Trump has been calling Chair Kevin Warsh since he took the helm at the
Market Optimism Helps Hawkish Bias
Gold is recouping losses above $4,300 in Thursday’s Asian session as the dust settles in the aftermath of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy decision and the signing of the US-Iran peace deal.
Wildfire Bonds Are the New Asset Class Hiding in Plain Sight
Most investors still think of catastrophe bonds as something insurers deal with, not something that belongs in a serious portfolio. This thinking is already out of date.
Rates Are Seeking New Levels to Settle
This briefing examines international students in the UK. It presents statistics on their numbers, characteristics, economic impact, what they do after their studies, and how many settle in the UK.
Long-Term Treasury Yields Surge After Fed Meeting
Oil prices turn lower as Bessent says U.S. may have Iran deal "today or tomorrow"
A Beautifully Simple Explanation for the Bounce in 30-Year Bond Yields
Oil prices turn lower as Bessent says U.S. may have Iran deal "today or tomorrow"
Recalibrating Rate Assumptions
Oil prices turn lower as Bessent says U.S. may have Iran deal "today or tomorrow"
The Fed Holds and the Long End Gets Nervous
Oil prices turn lower as Bessent says U.S. may have Iran deal "today or tomorrow"
Rates Outlook: Hike Temptation
Oil prices turn lower as Bessent says U.S. may have Iran deal "today or tomorrow"
Into the PIMCO void, Vanguard re-applies itself to active fixed-income funds and Bond Kings get a bitter taste of what the Peter Lynches of yesteryear learned the hard way - RIABiz
Into the PIMCO void, Vanguard re-applies itself to active fixed-income funds and Bond Kings get a bitter taste of what the Peter Lynches of yesteryear learned the hard way - RIABiz Into the PIMCO void, Vanguard re-appli…
2015 Corporate Bond Wrap-Up and First-Quarter 2016 Outlook - Morningstar
Corporate bonds performed poorly in 2015 as both investment-grade and high-yield bond indexes posted losses. Other fixed-income classes such as U.S. Treasuries and sovereign debt performed slightly better and generated …